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Friday, October 4, 2024

Saudi Arabia’s bold stance on the Palestinian issue and its implications for regional diplomacy

Saudi Arabia's foreign policy on the Israeli-Palestinian issue remains unyielding: it will not normalize relations with Israel unless there is progress towards establishing an independent Palestinian state with East Jerusalem as its capital.

In a recent Financial Times op-ed, Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan Al-Saud made a forceful call for an immediate ceasefire in the escalating Middle Eastern conflict. He emphasized that “the relentless cycle of violence must end” and called for courageous leadership to navigate the difficult path toward a lasting peace.

His remarks reflect a growing urgency in the Saudi position on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, underscored by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman’s earlier statements that placed the Palestinian issue at the forefront of Saudi concerns and strongly condemned Israel’s actions.

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Saudi Arabia’s Firm Conditions for Normalization

Saudi Arabia’s foreign policy on the Israeli-Palestinian issue remains unyielding: it will not normalize relations with Israel unless there is progress towards establishing an independent Palestinian state with East Jerusalem as its capital.

This stance is a significant setback for U.S. diplomatic efforts, particularly as President Joe Biden’s administration has invested heavily in brokering a normalization deal between Saudi Arabia and Israel. With the U.S. elections just around the corner, the escalating conflict leaves Biden’s legacy in the region tarnished, as violence surges and the hope of Saudi-Israeli normalization seems distant.

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In his op-ed, Prince Faisal reiterated that “the establishment of an independent Palestinian state” is essential for regional stability, prosperity, and long-term security. He rejected the idea that peace could be built on “a foundation of occupation and resentment,” asserting that true security for Israel can only come from acknowledging Palestinian rights. His comments come at a time when the Israeli government, under Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, has further alienated Arab nations through its actions in Gaza and Lebanon, casting doubt on the potential for any immediate normalization.

The Broader Regional and Global Impact

The timing of this strong message from Saudi Arabia is critical. Amid recent reports, including a claim in *The Atlantic* that Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman privately expressed personal indifference toward the Palestinian cause, Saudi leadership felt compelled to clarify its position both to its own people and to the broader Muslim world. The Crown Prince reportedly stated to U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken that while he personally did not prioritize the Palestinian issue, it was important to his population, particularly the younger generation, which makes up 70% of the Saudi demographic. 

While the Saudis have denied these claims, the intense public scrutiny—particularly following Israel’s recent military actions—has forced the kingdom to take a clear stance. Netanyahu’s remarks at the United Nations about a potential “pivot of history” in normalizing ties with Saudi Arabia, coupled with Israel’s ongoing military operations in Lebanon, have left Saudi leadership in an awkward position, particularly in front of its domestic audience and the wider Muslim world. The Palestinian issue remains a highly emotional and political subject across the region, and any perceived capitulation by Saudi leadership could have serious domestic and regional consequences.

Diplomatic Isolation of Israel and the Decline of U.S. Influence

Recent months have seen a growing number of countries, including Spain, Norway, and Ireland, officially recognizing Palestine. This places additional pressure on countries like the United Kingdom and the United States to reevaluate their stance on the Palestinian statehood question. In Saudi Arabia’s view, a solution that aligns with international law and the aspirations of the Palestinian people is the only viable path toward regional stability.

The normalization deal between Israel and Saudi Arabia, once hailed as a potential diplomatic breakthrough, now seems distant. Saudi Arabia’s Ambassador to the UK, Khalid bin Bandar Al Saud, recently reiterated that normalization remains impossible under the current circumstances, citing Israel’s failure to commit to a two-state solution as a major obstacle.

The Arab World’s Waning Patience

The broader Arab world, including nations like Egypt, Jordan, and the United Arab Emirates (UAE), has grown weary of Israel’s ongoing military aggression and its claims of existential threats. Despite previous normalization agreements under the Abraham Accords, which saw several Arab nations establish ties with Israel, recent events have renewed focus on the plight of the Palestinians. As Jordan’s Foreign Minister Ayman Safadi put it, Israel is solely focused on “destroying Gaza, inflaming the West Bank, [and] destroying Lebanon,” leaving little room for constructive dialogue or peace.

The United States’ role in this conflict has also come under increased scrutiny. American support for Israel, including military aid exceeding $20 billion since the beginning of the conflict in Gaza, has alienated many in the region. Arab nations, facing their own internal political and economic challenges, are increasingly reluctant to align themselves with U.S. policies that appear to prioritize Israel at the expense of Palestinian rights.

Saudi Arabia’s Next Steps

Moving forward, Saudi Arabia will need to take on a more assertive diplomatic role, both within the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) and on the global stage. The kingdom’s leadership must emphasize its commitment to Palestinian statehood while working to de-escalate tensions in Lebanon and the broader region. This will require engaging not only with the U.S. and European Union but also indirectly with Israel, in order to press for a more viable peace process.

The message from Saudi Arabia is clear: without a fair resolution to the Palestinian issue, peace and stability in the region will remain elusive. As the Saudi Foreign Minister stated, “Now is the time to stand on the right side of history,” urging the international community to take decisive action. With regional and global pressures mounting, Saudi Arabia’s leadership is stepping into a pivotal role, one that could reshape the future of Middle Eastern diplomacy.