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Saturday, November 16, 2024

Tesla to roll out humanoid robots in factories by next year

Elon Musk's timeline for Optimus includes having the robots operational within Tesla's production lines by the end of 2024.

Tesla’s ambitious plans for automation are taking a significant step forward with the announcement of humanoid robots, named Optimus, set to enter low production for internal use by next year. This development comes on the heels of a commitment by CEO Elon Musk to roll out these robots in high production for other companies by 2026. The announcement, made on social media platform X, highlights Tesla’s pivot towards artificial intelligence and robotics amid a backdrop of fluctuating demand for its electric vehicles.

Optimus: The Next Generation Robot

First unveiled in 2021, the Tesla robot, originally dubbed the Tesla Bot, has undergone several design iterations to arrive at its current form. Optimus stands 170 cm tall and weighs around 123 pounds. Designed to perform repetitive and potentially hazardous tasks, these robots are intended to alleviate labor shortages and enhance operational efficiency in various sectors such as logistics, warehousing, and manufacturing.

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During a recent presentation, Musk emphasized that Optimus would be “genuinely useful” and hinted at a future where these robots could be mass-produced at a cost below $20,000. A second-generation prototype was showcased earlier this year, demonstrating capabilities like folding a T-shirt, highlighting the robot’s dexterity and potential utility in everyday tasks.

Timeline and Production Goals

Elon Musk’s timeline for Optimus includes having the robots operational within Tesla’s production lines by the end of 2024. By 2026, Musk hopes to ramp up production to meet external demand. However, it’s important to note Musk’s history of ambitious promises that often face delays. For instance, his 2019 prediction of a network of “robotaxi” autonomous cars by 2020 has yet to materialize, with the latest update indicating a need for further design changes.

Despite these delays, Tesla’s stock saw a modest increase of about 1% premarket following the announcement of the humanoid robots. This uptick reflects investor interest in Tesla’s continued innovation in artificial intelligence and robotics, even as the company navigates challenges in the electric vehicle market.

Competing in a Crowded Field

Tesla is not alone in the race to develop humanoid robots. Japanese automotive giant Honda and Hyundai Motor’s Boston Dynamics have also made significant strides in this field. Boston Dynamics, in particular, is renowned for its advanced robots capable of complex movements and tasks, often showcased in viral videos performing parkour and dance routines.

The competition emphasizes a broader industry trend towards automation and robotics, driven by the need to address labor shortages and improve safety in industrial settings. These robots are envisioned to perform tasks that are either too repetitive or dangerous for humans, thereby enhancing productivity and workplace safety.

Road Ahead

Musk’s focus on artificial intelligence and robotics comes at a crucial time for Tesla. As demand for electric vehicles tapers, these new technologies represent potential growth areas for the company. Tesla’s recent pivot includes a heightened emphasis on autonomous driving software, robotaxis, and now humanoid robots, as part of its broader AI strategy.

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The forthcoming second-quarter financial results will be closely watched by Wall Street, not only for insights into Tesla’s margins but also for updates on Musk’s ambitious AI and robotics projects. With expectations that margins might hit a more than five-year low, Tesla’s innovative endeavors could play a key role in shaping investor sentiment and the company’s future trajectory.